Wed. Nov 30th, 2022

For the first time since 2019, the Washington Commanders will face the Chicago Bears on Thursday Night Football. Soldier Field hosts the game in Chicago, with both teams coming off losses. The Bears are 2-0 at home and 2-3 overall this season after a loss to the Minnesota Vikings in Week 5. The Commanders are on a four-game losing streak with a 1-4 overall record and an 0-2 mark on the road.

Kickoff is at 8:15 p.m. ET in Chicago. Caesars Sportsbook lists the game as a pick’em at Soldier Field, while the over/under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 37.5 in the latest Bears vs. Commanders odds. Before making any Commanders vs. Bears picks, be sure to check out the NFL predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 6 of the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 146-105 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has set its sights on Bears vs. Commanders and just locked in its picks and TNF predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are the NFL odds and betting lines for Commanders vs. Bears:

  • Bears vs. Commanders spread: PK
  • Bears vs. Commanders over/under: 37.5 points
  • Bears vs. Commanders money line: Commanders -110, Bears -110
  • WASH: Commanders are 1-4 against the spread this season
  • CHI: Bears are 2-2-1 against the spread in 2022
  • Bears vs. Commanders picks: See picks at SportsLine

Featured Game | Chicago Bears vs. Washington Commanders

Why the Commanders can cover

 The Commanders are in the top 10 in passing yards, averaging more than 250 per game, and have 10 passing touchdowns, a top-five mark in the league. The Commanders have only two lost fumbles in five games, and Carson Wentz is in the top six in passing yards (1,390), completions (132), and passing touchdowns (10). Wide receiver Curtis Samuel is in the top 10 with 32 receptions, and Washington’s defense has strong metrics in specific areas.

The Commanders are in the top 10 in first downs allowed and yards per carry allowed (4.2), and own an above average rushing defense (110.6 yards allowed per game). Washington has allowed only three rushing touchdowns and is in the top five in third down defense, allowing opponents to convert on only 30.4% of chances.

Why the Bears can cover

Chicago’s passing offense isn’t excelling, but the Bears do have a quality running game. Justin Fields is a true dual-threat option at the quarterback position, and the Bears are in the top five in rushing offense, averaging 157.4 yards per game on the ground. Chicago is also averaging 4.9 yards per carry, and the Bears have a two-headed monster of David Montgomery and Khalil Herbert. Montgomery has at least 1,000 total yards in each season of his career, while Herbert is averaging 5.9 yards per carry in 2022.

Chicago is also above-average in the red zone, scoring seven touchdowns in 12 trips, and Washington’s defense is vulnerable. The Commanders are No. 26 in total yards allowed and are dead-last in turnover creation. Washington is below-average in passing defense, ranking in the bottom five in passing touchdowns allowed and passer rating allowed to opposing quarterbacks.

How to make Bears vs. Commanders picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning Over the total, calling for 42 combined points. It also says one side of the spread cashes in more than 60% of simulations. You can only get the model’s TNF picks at SportsLine. 

So who wins Commanders vs. Bears on Thursday Night Football? And which side of the spread cashes more than 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Commanders vs. Bears spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up almost $7,000 on its NFL picks since 2017, and find out.

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