Sat. Dec 3rd, 2022

The Miami Heat held a 42-37 lead at halftime of Game 5 on Wednesday before being outscored 32-16 by the Boston Celtics in the third quarter. Boston will be looking to use another big run on Friday to take control of Game 6 in the Eastern Conference finals and book its spot in the NBA Finals. Miami is hoping to have shooting guard Tyler Herro back from a groin injury, but he is questionable to play. He’s one of five Miami players listed as questionable, joining Kyle Lowry (hamstring), Max Strus (hamstring), P.J. Tucker (knee) and Gabe Vincent (hamstring). Marcus Smart (ankle) and Robert Williams III (knee) are both questionable for Boston. 

Tipoff is set for 8:30 p.m. ET from TD Garden in Boston. Boston is the 8.5-point favorite in the latest Heat vs. Celtics odds from Caesars Sportsbook. The over-under for total points is set at 202, up two points from the opening line. Before locking in any Celtics vs. Heat picks, be sure to check out the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters the second week of the conference finals of the 2022 NBA playoffs on a stunning 87-59 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning over $2,100. Anyone following it has seen huge returns. 

Now, the model has set its sights on Heat vs. Celtics and just revealed its coveted picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see all of the model’s NBA picks. Here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Celtics vs. Heat: 

  • Heat vs. Celtics spread: Boston -8.5
  • Heat vs. Celtics over-under: 202 points 
  • Heat vs. Celtics money line: Miami +285, Boston -360
  • Heat vs. Celtics tickets: See tickets at StubHub 
  • MIA: The Heat are 20-10 ATS this season as underdogs
  • BOS: The Celtics are 5-3 ATS against the Heat this season 

Featured Game | Boston Celtics vs. Miami Heat

Why the Celtics can cover

Guard Jaylen Brown possesses all the raw tools needed to thrive. Brown is an explosive athlete with outstanding leaping ability. The 2021 All-Star can soar over defenders but owns a reliable jumper from both the mid-range and 3-point land. Brown is second on the team in scoring (23.1) and rebounds (6.9) with 1.3 steals per game during the postseason. In Game 5, he totaled 25 points, four rebounds and went 5-for-9 from deep.

Smart, whose listed as questionable (ankle), returned to the floor in Game 5. He is a lockdown defender who can guard any position on the court with ease. The Oklahoma State product forces opposing players into difficult shots while piling up steals. Smart is a smooth playmaker with a nice jumper. He averages 15 points, 4.2 rebounds, 6.5 assists and 1.1 steals per game. 

Why the Heat can cover

If one thing is certain, it is that Miami’s effort is not going to dip in Game 6. The Heat have been able to put together several successful seasons in the last few years due to their effort. They have responded to adversity in an admirable way, covering the spread in seven of their last eight games following a double-digit loss at home.

Miami’s shooting numbers should also improve after struggling in two straight games. Meanwhile, Boston has blown a 3-2 lead in two Eastern Conference finals over the last decade, so the Celtics could be tight on Friday night. The Heat have covered the spread in 11 of their last 15 trips to Boston. 

How to make Celtics vs. Heat picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the point total, projecting the teams to combine for 206 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits over 50 percent of the time. You can only see the model’s NBA playoff picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Celtics vs. Heat? And which side of the spread hits over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.

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