Tue. Dec 6th, 2022

Typically when the NFL has a game in the middle of its season between teams that are well above .500, you can expect a hard-fought, close matchup. However, according to the oddsmakers, there are several games on the Week 9 NFL schedule where the gap between two winning teams is much greater than their records indicate. The latest Week 9 NFL odds from Caesars Sportsbook list the Chiefs (5-2) as 12.5-point favorites over the Titans (5-2), while the Bills (6-1) are listed as 13-point favorites over the Jets (5-3), two of the largest NFL spreads we’ll see all season. How should you play these games in your NFL office pool picks and NFL survivor picks? All of the Week 9 NFL lines are listed below, and SportsLine’s advanced computer model has all the NFL betting advice and predictions you need to make the best Week 9 NFL picks now.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 9 of the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 148-107 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is WAY UP.

Now, it has turned its attention to the latest Week 9 NFL odds and locked in picks for every NFL matchup. Head here to see every pick.

Top Week 9 NFL predictions

One of the model’s strongest Week 9 NFL picks is that the Bears (+5) cover the spread at home against Miami 60% of the time. Miami is 5-3 and has won all five games that Tua Tagovailoa has started and finished. The Dolphins are coming off a 31-27 win over the one-win Lions in Week 8 and will now take on a Bears squad that has growing confidence on the offensive side of the ball.

After averaging just 274 yards per game over their first five contests, the Bears have averaged 384 over the last three weeks and they’ve piled up 62 points over their last two games. Chicago’s running game has been particularly impressive, posting rushing totals of 237, 243 and 240 in the last three games with Justin Fields, David Montgomery and Khalil Herbert all playing significant roles.

Miami’s defense ranks 22nd in points allowed per game and just allowed a Lions offense that had only managed six points in their previous two games to pile up 393 yards of total offense and 27 points. The model is predicting that the Bears rush for well over 160 yards on Sunday to help Chicago cover the spread in well over 50 percent of simulations. See which other teams to pick here.

Top Week 9 NFL survivor picks

The model’s Week 9 NFL knockout pool picks say to avoid the Cardinals, even though they are home favorites over the Seahawks. The Cardinals were favored when these two locked up in Week 6, but Arizona didn’t score an offensive touchdown in a 10-point loss. The Cards have lost three of their last four, while Seattle has won three straight behind a retooled defense. After allowing 30.8 points per game over their first five contests, the Seahawks have allowed just 15 over their last three.

On offense for Seattle, rookie Kenneth Walker III has averaged over 100 rushing yards over his last four games, while Arizona is coming off a game in which it allowed a season-high 173 rushing yards to Minnesota. Those trends on the ground are expected to continue in Week 9, with the model projecting Seattle to rush for over 100 yards and average over 5.0 yards per carry. With an improved defense, a dominant ground game and the quarterback edge, the model favors Seattle and is bypassing Arizona with Week 9 NFL survivor pool picks. See which team you should pick here.

Top Week 9 NFL office pool picks

One of the strongest Week 9 NFL football pool picks from the model is that the Patriots beat the Colts. The Colts may have moved on from Matt Ryan to Sam Ehlinger at quarterback, but their results on the field didn’t get any better last week in a 17-16 loss to the Washington Commanders. Ehlinger completed 73 percent of his passes and didn’t throw an interception, but he finished with just 201 passing yards without a touchdown and lost a fumble.

Patriots quarterback Mac Jones played a complete game in New England’s win over the Jets in Week 8 after getting benched against the Bears the previous week. He threw for 194 yards and a touchdown with a pick, but the bigger story was the response from New England’s defense after an embarrassing loss to Chicago. The Patriots intercepted Zach Wilson three times and held the New York Jets to just 51 rushing yards in a 22-17 win. The model predicts that Colts running back Jonathan Taylor will push for 100 yards on the ground, but the Pats will limit Ehlinger for a second consecutive week and finish with a win in nearly 70 percent of simulations. See which other teams to pick here.

How to make Week 9 NFL picks 

The model has also made the call on who wins and covers in every other game on the Week 9 NFL schedule, and it also says a Super Bowl contender goes down hard. It’s also backing a shocking team in its NFL survivor picks. You can only get every pick for every game at SportsLine.

So what NFL predictions, NFL pool picks, and NFL survivor picks can you make with confidence? And which Super Bowl contender goes down hard? Check out the latest NFL odds below, then visit SportsLine to see which teams win and cover the spread, all from a proven computer model that has returned almost $7,000 since its inception, and find out.

Week 9 NFL odds, lines, spreads

Get full NFL picks at SportsLine

Sunday, Nov. 6

Chargers at Falcons (+3, 49)

Featured Game | Atlanta Falcons vs. Los Angeles Chargers

Dolphins at Bears (+5, 45.5)

Featured Game | Chicago Bears vs. Miami Dolphins

Panthers at Bengals (-7.5, 42.5)

Featured Game | Cincinnati Bengals vs. Carolina Panthers

Packers at Lions (+3.5, 49.5)

Featured Game | Detroit Lions vs. Green Bay Packers

Raiders at Jaguars (+1.5, 48)

Featured Game | Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Las Vegas Raiders

Colts at Patriots (-5.5, 39.5)

Featured Game | New England Patriots vs. Indianapolis Colts

Bills at Jets (+13, 47)

Featured Game | New York Jets vs. Buffalo Bills

Vikings at Commanders (+3.5, 43.5)

Featured Game | Washington Commanders vs. Minnesota Vikings

Seahawks at Cardinals (-2, 50.5)

Featured Game | Arizona Cardinals vs. Seattle Seahawks

Rams at Buccaneers (-3, 42.5)

Featured Game | Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Los Angeles Rams

Titans at Chiefs (-12.5, 46.5)

Featured Game | Kansas City Chiefs vs. Tennessee Titans

Monday, Nov. 7

Ravens at Saints (+3, 48)

Featured Game | New Orleans Saints vs. Baltimore Ravens

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